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This election cycle, the political landscape in the United States has witnessed significant transformations, particularly among Hispanic and Native American communities. Traditionally associated with the Democratic Party, these groups have shown signs of shifting their allegiances toward the Republican Party.

Tuesday, November 5th, will go down in history as one of the world’s greatest political comebacks. After years of politicized investigations and the entire bureaucratic state coming after him, Donald Trump secured an electoral landslide and won back the White House.

By focusing on the kitchen table issues that matter to all Americans, regardless of their identity – inflation, illegal immigration, foreign affairs, public safety – Donald Trump was able to expand not only his electoral map but also his electorate.

Despite both Republicans and Democrats courting the Hispanic and Native American votes, exit polls from Tuesday night found that President Donald Trump received support from almost 65% of Native American voters and 45% of Hispanic voters.

However, these trends are not just unique to the American Southwest. In North Carolina, the once loyally blue Lumbee shifted 36 points to the right in 2020, giving Donald Trump critical votes necessary to win the state. In 2024, Donald Trump expanded his victory amongst tribal members, receiving 63% of the vote in Lumbee-heavy Robeson County.

When studying this trend and understanding the impact it will have on election outcomes in the future, it is important to look at why Native American and Latino voters shifted. On the issues, like many Americans, the traditional cultural values of both Hispanics and Native Americans simply do not align with the woke left.

At the core of both Hispanic and Native American cultures lies a deep respect for the family unit, traditional gender roles, respect for elders, tradition, God and the sacredness of life. These long-standing cultural values align better with the Republican Party.

Another key issue, particularly for tribes and Hispanic voters in New Mexico, Arizona, and Nevada, is illegal immigration. While Democrats wrongly assumed Hispanic voters would align with their open-border immigration policies, Hispanics, just like all Americans, want safer communities, too. Native Americans witnessed the Biden-Harris administration roll out the red carpet and (x amount of funding) to non-citizens, while many of our own Native American populations don’t have access to running water or electricity.

President Trump’s straightforward immigration policy resonates with all Americans.

The concept of the American Dream is also a powerful motivator for many Hispanic and Native American voters. Native Americans on the reservation have experienced some of the highest rates of poverty, destruction and despair as a result of socialist policies – as well as many Hispanics who’ve left communist countries like Cuba and Venezuela. We have a natural distrust of big government socialist policies advanced by far-left Democrats – as many Americans should.

No amount of gaslighting from the Harris-Walz campaign could erase the tangible economic results delivered under Trump’s presidency. Native Americans and Hispanics, like all Americans, have hope and aspirations for a better future, rooted in the belief that anyone, regardless of their background, can succeed through hard work and determination. Trump’s policies emphasized this narrative and delivered opportunity and progress.

As a Native American and Hispanic woman from the heart of Indian country, Gallup, New Mexico – which is also in a Hispanic majority state, I have worked to bridge the gap between the Republican Party and Native and Hispanic communities. For the first time in recent memory, Donald Trump’s Republican Party made it their mission to earn the trust and support of these communities, and it paid off.

Though it was not enough to win in a state like New Mexico, Donald Trump’s outreach to our community put him within six points of winning, a five point improvement from 2020.

In the last week of his campaign, President Trump came to our state and spoke directly to our communities. New Mexico was never in play this cycle, but he seized the opportunity to make inroads and pushed the needle closer, improving his performances and appealing to a new group of mobilized voters.

Groundwork has been laid, a presence has been felt and a movement has begun. Flipping a reliably blue state takes time and with the Republican National Committee and Trump apparatus committed to improving Hispanic and Native American outreach in rural communities that were once reliably blue, we can begin to build a stronger bridge into these communities.

The potential for Hispanic and Native American communities to lean towards the Republican Party becomes increasingly plausible. Their traditional values, concerns over illegal immigration, economic aspirations, and the enduring hope of the American Dream create a complex interplay that influences their political choices.

These shifts have the potential to impact American electoral politics permanently and put states like New Mexico, Nevada and California in play for Republicans in the years to come. 

Elisa Martinez is both Hispanic and Native American. She is a registered tribal member of the Navajo Nation. She ran for US Senate in New Mexico in 2020. She is a former Trump surrogate (2020), Native Americans for Trump coalition advisory board member and former press secretary for the Republican National Hispanic Assembly.

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President-elect Donald Trump is expected to soon appoint a Ukrainian peace envoy to lead negotiations on ending the war with Russia, multiple sources told Fox News Digital. 

‘You’re going to see a very senior special envoy, someone with a lot of credibility, who will be given a task to find a resolution, to get to a peace settlement,’ one of the sources said. 

‘You’re going to see that in short order.’ 

The job is not expected to be a salaried role – from 2017 to 2019, Kurt Volker had served as special representative to Ukrainian negotiations on a volunteer basis. 

Trump has been rolling out appointee names at lightning pace of those he wants to fill his Cabinet and advise him on top issues. 

He picked Rep. Michael Waltz, R-Fla., to serve as his national security advisor and sources have told Fox News he’s settled on Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., to lead the State Department. 

Trump has designated Steven Witkoff to be his special envoy to the Middle East. 

Trump has long insisted he could negotiate an end to the war with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Russian President Vladimir Putin. Few details have been given about how he would do this. 

A report last week by the Wall Street Journal suggested Vice President-elect Vance’s controversial suggestions from the campaign trail are now being pushed by multiple advisers close to the president-elect.

Some advisers are reportedly encouraging Trump to push Kyiv to agree to terms that would freeze the frontlines by creating an 800-mile-long demilitarized zone and allow Russia to keep the land it has illegally seized, which amounts to roughly 20% of Ukraine.

It has also been suggested that Kyiv should agree not to pursue NATO membership for 20 years, a stipulation that critics of this plan argue kowtows to Russian President Vladimir Putin.

A Washington Post report on Sunday also claimed Trump had spoken with Putin, where the president-elect told the Russian leader not to escalate the war. Trump’s transition team would not confirm or deny the call. 

Fox News’ Caitlin McFall contributed to this report. 

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President-elect Donald Trump on Wednesday predicted the GOP could win liberal states like California and New York in the next election — and mused about running a fourth time. 

‘I suspect I won’t be running again unless you do something else, unless you say he’s so good we’ve got to figure something out,’ he joked to a gathering of House Republicans ahead of their closed-door leadership elections in Washington, D.C. on Wednesday. 

‘It’s nice to win. It’s always nice to win. A lot of good friends in this room. So, you know, we had, like, historic kind of numbers, especially for the president,’ Trump said. ‘But the House did very well, and I think we’re responsible for helping you.’

Trump’s appearance came as lawmakers returned to Washington for a lame duck session before the next term. Republicans are poised to keep their narrow majority in the House, and have won control of the Senate, granting them far greater ease next term at getting conservative legislation to the president’s desk.

Trump went on: ‘We won, which is great because Republicans aren’t supposed to be winning the majority.’ 

‘We won it every way — all seven swing states by a lot … New Jersey is right, just a few points. It’s got them very worried because they said, well, next time if we go up even a fraction of what we went up, you’re going to win New York, you’re going to win new Jersey, you’re going to win places that weren’t winnable. California too.’ 

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Former First Lady Melania Trump said she questions whether First Lady Jill Biden’s ‘concern was genuine’ following the first assassination attempt against President Trump in July, due to her rhetoric about her husband in the days leading up to the incident. 

Trump, in an interview with French publication ‘Paris Match’ last month, said that Jill Biden ‘took the initiative to contact me directly’ after ‘someone tried to murder my husband in Pennsylvania’ during his rally on July 13.

‘I do question, however, whether Jill’s concern was genuine as a few days prior she referred to my husband as ‘evil’ and a ‘liar,’’ Trump said. ‘It was obvious that the onslaught of rhetoric from Democrat leaders and the mainstream media was so deeply embedded in our nation’s consciousness it prompted an attempt to assassinate Donald.’ 

Mrs. Trump’s interview was conducted before President-elect Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election. 

President-elect Trump is in Washington, D.C. on Wednesday for meetings with House Republicans on Capitol Hill and will return to the White House for the first time since leaving in 2021 Wednesday for a meeting with President Biden. 

Mrs. Trump, however, will not attend the meeting at the White House. 

‘Her husband’s return to the Oval Office to commence the transition process is encouraging, and she wishes him great success,’ her spokesperson said. 

Meanwhile, in the interview, Mrs. Trump said that while she was ‘relieved to learn my husband was safe, it was evident that the forces behind this wicked behavior won’t come to an end.’ 

‘Simply put, they want Donald out.  They won’t stop. Has the concept of ‘respect’ become antiquated?  Can opposing sides prioritize decency, come together, and coexist?’ she questioned. ‘Doubtful, as the Democrat political engine peddles harsh words, vile names, and labels our nation’s 45th President ‘a threat to democracy.’’ 

She added: ‘People today are so desensitized they actually joke about killing a former U.S. President.’ 

Mrs. Trump said that ‘it is undeniable that this type of speech created a toxic political environment.’ 

‘This relentless vilification deepened the political divide in America, and now compromises those individuals who dare to stand-up for their own beliefs,’ she said. ‘We are dangerously close to the edge of a different type of societal change.  It is time to be introspective, rewire ourselves, and discover the root cause of this egoism.  It is incumbent upon every American to begin posing these questions in order to ensure the survival of our nation. We now live in a post-respect world.’ 

She added: ‘I guess nothing in politics is sacred anymore.’ 

President-elect Trump, after the second assassination attempt against him in September, in an exclusive interview with Fox News Digital, also blamed Democrats’ rhetoric for the violence. 

‘Their rhetoric is causing me to be shot at, when I am the one who is going to save the country, and they are the ones that are destroying the country — both from the inside and out,’ Trump said in September.

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Justice Department Special Counsel Jack Smith is expected to resign before President-elect Trump is inaugurated in January, the New York Times reported, citing sources familiar with the matter. 

Smith is aiming to bring to an end his cases against Trump and step down before the new president takes office as a way to get ahead of the Republican’s promise to fire him ‘within two seconds.’ 

Trump has pointed to a Supreme Court immunity ruling from this summer that broadened the criteria for official presidential conduct ineligible for prosecution even after a president is no longer in office.

Smith has been evaluating how to wind down both the 2020 election interference case and the separate classified documents case before Trump takes office, Fox News reported last week. 

Longstanding Justice Department policy says sitting presidents cannot be prosecuted while in office.

Smith on Friday filed a motion to vacate all deadlines in the 2020 election interference case against Trump in Washington, D.C., a widely expected move, but one that stops short of dropping the case against him completely. He said Friday that his team plans to give an updated report on the official status of the case against Trump on Dec. 2. 

Smith is required under DOJ regulations to submit a report of his findings and an explanation of the charges the prosecutor considered and ultimately filed – even though neither case made it to trial. 

Under a crunched timeline, it is unclear if Attorney General Merrick Garland would make that report public before the end of President Biden’s term or defer to the incoming Trump administration, according to the Times. 

Sources close to the matter told the Times that Smith has no intention of dragging his feet, and has informed career prosecutors and FBI agents on his team not directly involved in preparing the report that they can plan their exits in the coming weeks. 

In Friday’s filing, Smith said he needed a month ‘to assess this unprecedented circumstance and determine the appropriate course going forward consistent with Department of Justice policy.’

The House Judiciary Committee is concerned that Smith and prosecutors involved in the investigations will ‘purge’ records to skirt oversight and is demanding they produce to Congress all documents related to the probes before the end of the month, Fox News Digital previously reported. 

Fox News’ Breanne Deppisch, Brooke Singman and the Associated Press contributed to this report.

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Control of the House of Representatives remains undecided, with Republicans sitting just two seats away from a majority as of Wednesday morning.

The Associated Press has yet to call 12 House races across the country. In one of those 12 races, California’s 47th Congressional District, Republican candidate Scott Baugh has conceded in the open race against Democrat Dave Min.

Alaska

Democratic incumbent Rep. Mary Sattler Peltola is in a tight race in Alaska’s at-large congressional district, where she is trailing Republican entrepreneur Nick Begich.

As of Wednesday morning, Begich holds a three-point lead at 49.1% of the vote compared to Peltola’s 45.8%. The vote count sits at 142,023 to 132,473 with roughly 91% of the vote counted.

Arizona

The race in Arizona’s 6th Congressional District is tight, with Republican incumbent Rep. Juan Ciscomani holding a narrow lead.

The first-term lawmaker holds a two-point advantage over former Democratic state lawmaker Kirsten Engel as of Wednesday morning. The vote count sits at 196,293 to 189,426, with 90% of votes counted.

California

Democratic incumbent Josh Harder leads Republican challenger Kevin Lincoln by four points.

While Harder asserted victory in the race on Tuesday evening, Lincoln has not conceded, and The Associated Press has not called the race.

The district had about 74% of the vote recorded as of Wednesday, and Harder’s lead sits at over 7,000 votes.

Republican Rep. John Duarte is leading former Democratic State Assembly member Adam Gray in California’s 13th.

Roughly 70% of the vote has been counted, and Duarte holds a 51% to 49% lead. The contest is separated by just over 3,000 votes as of Wednesday morning.

Incumbent Democratic Rep. John Costa leads his Republican challenger, Michael Maher, in a 51.7 % to 48.3% race as of Wednesday morning.

So far, 79% of the vote has been counted, and Costa’s lead is just over 5,000 votes.

Republican incumbent Rep. Ken Calvert holds a 51.3% to 48.7% lead over Democratic challenger Will Rollins. Roughly 79% of the vote has been counted as of Wednesday, and Calvert’s lead sits at over 8,000 votes.

Incumbent Republican Rep. Michelle Steel leads her Democratic challenger Derek Tran with 50.4% of the vote as of Wednesday. Roughly 87% of the votes have been counted, and Steel’s lead has shrunk to 2,272 votes.

Republican Scott Baugh, a former state assembly member, conceded the race to Democratic state Sen. Dave Min in the race to succeed outgoing Democratic Rep. Katie Porter in California’s 47th Congressional District.

Min holds a one-point lead, with nearly 86% of the vote counted. The race was rated Lean Democrat by the Fox News Power Rankings.

With Min’s lead at nearly 6,000 votes, The Associated Press has yet to call the result.

Iowa

Republican incumbent Rep. Mariannet Miller-Meeks holds a razor-thin lead over challenger Christina Bohannan with 99% of the vote counted. Miller-Meeks’ lead sits at 731 votes.

Maine

Democratic incumbent Jared Golden holds a razor-thin lead over Republican challenger Austin Theriault as of Wednesday.

With 98% of the votes counted, Golden’s lead sits at 726 votes. The state is conducting ranked-choice tabulation this week.

Ohio

Democratic incumbent Marcy Kaptur leads her Republican challenger, Derek Merrin, by less than one point with 99% of the votes counted. Kaptur’s lead sits at just under 1,200 votes as of Wednesday.

Oregon

Republican incumbent Rep. Lori Chavez-DeRemer is trailing her Democratic challenger, Janelle Bynum, by nearly three points with 91% of the votes counted Wednesday.

Bynum’s lead sits at just over 10,000 votes.

Fox News’ Chris Pandolfo contributed to this report.

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Arkansas Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders said Tuesday that she will not leave the governor’s mansion to join President-elect Donald Trump’s incoming administration in Washington, D.C. 

‘I’ve already announced my bid for re-election and I look forward to serving in this position for the next six years,’ Sanders told reporters when asked if she might re-join the White House. ‘So unfortunately, and hopefully, you guys are stuck with me for a while.’ 

Sanders served as the 31st White House press secretary for two years during Trump’s first term. She left the White House in 2019 and mounted a successful campaign for governor in 2021 with Trump’s endorsement, becoming the first female governor of the Natural State. She is also the youngest currently serving governor in the United States.

Sanders campaigned for Trump’s re-election in 2024 and appeared at several of his rallies. Her father, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, was recently named as Trump’s choice to be the next U.S. ambassador to Israel.

‘The only member of my family who will be going into the administration is my dad,’ Sanders said Tuesday. 

Trump announced Huckabee’s appointment as U.S. ambassador to Israel on Tuesday in a statement that called the former governor ‘Highly Respected.’ 

‘Mike has been a great public servant, Governor, and Leader in Faith for many years. He loves Israel, and the people of Israel, and likewise, the people of Israel love him. Mike will work tirelessly to bring about Peace in the Middle East,’ Trump said. 

Reacting to the appointment, Sanders said she was ‘unbelievably proud’ to learn that her father was nominated to serve in the Trump administration.

‘I went to Israel for the first time with my dad when I was eleven and it changed my life. There is no one President Trump could have picked with a greater love for the Israeli people and commitment to the unbreakable bond between America and Israel than him,’ she posted on X. ‘Love you dad!’

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– President-elect Donald Trump’s nominees to serve as United Nations ambassador, national security adviser, and most importantly, secretary of state are regarded by many as ‘China Hawks.’ 

Their appointments are being mostly welcomed in Taiwan, even by some who did not support the former and future president.

Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., likely to be tapped to become Trump’s chief diplomat, made his position clear during the Republican National Convention in mid-July, when he said that he expected a re-elected Trump to, ‘continue to do what he did in his first term and that is … continue to support Taiwan.’ Rubio, however, has been in lockstep with Trump on insisting Taiwan increase defense spending, a view shared by security experts, but not necessarily the majority of Taiwanese people. 

As of yet, no official statement has come from Taiwanese President William Lai, but in 2019, when Lai was vice president to then-President Tsai Ing-wen, Taiwan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs offered its gratitude to Sen. Rubio and former Sen. Cory Gardner, R-Colo., for rejecting Chinese President Xi Jinping’s proposal (or demand) that Taiwan accept ‘one country, two systems.’ 

This same formula was supposed to apply to Hong Kong for 50 years after the handover in 1997 but lasted only until roughly 2020, when China imposed draconian new laws. Today, people in Hong Kong can be jailed for non-violent acts of protest, such as wearing a shirt with the words ‘Liberate Hong Kong.’ An overwhelming majority in Taiwan reject China’s ‘one country, two systems,’ and any other plan that gives authoritarian China control of democratic Taiwan. 

Rubio is blunt on China, writing on X, for example, ‘Communist China is not, and will never be, a friend to democratic nations.’ In May 2022, Rubio introduced the ‘Taiwan Peace Through Strength Act,’ a bill that would fast-track U.S.-Taiwan military coordination. Rubio stated in connection to the bill that, ‘Putin’s invasion of Ukraine is not the first time an authoritarian regime invaded its neighbor and, unfortunately, it won’t be the last. An invasion of Taiwan could happen within this decade. Taiwan needs our support, and my bill will make Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party think twice before launching a foolish invasion. We must do all we can to deter an attack on Taiwan, or we risk losing the Indo-Pacific region to the Chinese Communist Party.’

Rubio as a potential secretary of state is a problem for China, as the Florida Republican is blacklisted, or in more diplomatic terms, ‘sanctioned.’ Rubio was among the 11 U.S. senators China sanctioned in 2020 for their ‘wrong U.S. behaviors … who have behaved egregiously on Hong Kong-related issues.’ 

How to have ‘meaningful dialogues’ with a person banned from China remains to be seen. Any option – including rescinding the sanctions – could make China look weak. However, Wu Xinbo, Fudan University professor and director at the Center for American Studies, told Fox News Digital via email from Shanghai that he has some doubts. ‘These China hawks will surely push the envelope on the Taiwan question as hard as they can,’ said Wu, ‘but it may backfire, and the U.S. will get burned. I’m not sure if this is what Trump wants.’

So far, however, Trump seems to be sending clear signals that his administration will not be all bark and no bite. Rep. Michael Waltz, R-Fla., Trump’s choice for national security adviser, is at least as strident as Rubio. Writing in The Economist earlier this month, Waltz, opined that conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East need to be ‘urgently’ ended, so the U.S. can ‘finally focus strategy attention where it should be: countering the greater the threat from the Chinese Communist Party.’ 

Trump has also nominated his loyal ally, New York Rep. Elise Stefanik, R-NY., to be his ambassador to the United Nations. Senior Adviser to the think-tank Foundation for the Defense of Democracies Richard Goldberg wrote that, aside from enthusiastically vetoing anti-Israel U.N. resolutions, he expects Stefanik to work toward ‘leveraging American financial assistance across the U.N. system to root out Chinese malign influence…’

Rather predictably, netizens on China’s censored internet went with the ‘who cares?’ line that has become common. Ross Darrell Feingold, a Taipei-based lawyer and rare American in Taiwan who is active on TouTiao, a Chinese social media platform, told Fox News Digital that the comments he received in response to the likely Rubio nomination included, ‘Doesn’t matter. All U.S. politicians are anti-China,’ and, ‘No such thing as ‘anti-China, pro-Taiwan.’ There’s only ‘anti-China’ and the U.S. isn’t serious about being pro-Taiwan.’ 

These bland remarks may not represent genuine feelings, as the level of internet control in China is impressive and even minor deviations from the party line can result in complete bans. However, one TouTiao user did highlight one of the major hurdles China has with Rubio, ‘He won’t be able to visit because we sanctioned him.’ 

Depending on who you ask, China’s youth unemployment rate is anywhere from 17-20%, and Trump’s tariffs aren’t going to help create new jobs in China. Over the weekend, Chinese authorities stopped a trend that saw tens of thousands of students ride bicycles on a 30-mile nighttime adventure to an ancient city in central China’s Henan Province. Flocks of students went on chilly rides with friends that did not appear to have any overt political motives. Some even carried large PRC flags while others were filmed singing China’s national anthem. 

However, as many have pointed out, what turned into the Tiananmen Square ‘Incident’ also began with crowds of cheerful students – some of whom also sang patriotic songs.

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The incoming Senate Republican Conference will meet to hold secret ballot elections for several leadership positions on Wednesday morning, including the successor of Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., who will lead the Republican majority next year.

At 9:30 a.m., the conference for the 119th Congress will select a new leader, Republican whip, conference chair, Republican policy committee chair, vice conference chair and National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRS) chair.

Those vying for the coveted leader role are Senate Minority Whip John Thune, R-S.D., and Sens. John Cornyn, R-Texas, and Rick Scott, R-Fla. 

On Tuesday, 42 GOP senators gathered for a leader candidate forum led by Sen. Mike Lee, R-Utah. Several of the lawmakers expressed satisfaction with how the discussion went, and Scott ended the evening by adding two additional endorsements. 

According to Lee, the Republicans discussed a range of issues, some procedural, some substantive, and some policy-oriented. 

President-elect Donald Trump notably has not made an endorsement in the Senate leader race. Scott’s race, however, has gained the support of high-profile Trump allies like Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. and X owner Elon Musk.

Senate Republican conference Chairman John Barrasso, R-Wyo., is running unopposed for whip, while Sen. James Lankford, R-Okla., is running unopposed for vice conference chair. Sen. Shelley Moore Capito, R-W.Va., is unopposed in her bid for Republican policy committee chair and Sen. Tim Scott, R-S.C., is running unopposed for NRSC chair.

Sens. Joni Ernst, R-Iowa, and Tom Cotton, R-Ark., will face off for the No. 3 GOP role of conference chair.

The Wednesday morning elections will take place in the old Senate chamber in the Capitol. Before each race, each candidate will have two nominating speeches from other senators. Then they’ll make their own case. There may be some discussion before senators vote, and the secret ballot will remain private unless individual senators decide to disclose who they chose. Even then, there is no way to verify.

The elections could last for hours, with the 2022 elections lasting until 1 p.m. after Scott challenged McConnell in the leader race.

In order to be elected, a candidate must receive a majority vote from the 53-member conference. This means they must garner 27 votes.

Senators will not assume the new roles until the new Congress begins in January.

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The biggest loser on election night was the supreme leader of Iran, Ali Khamenei. The Tehran regime has spent years plotting Donald Trump’s assassination, only to see him return to the Oval Office with greater popular support than ever.

Trump knows that he had Khamenei on the ropes when his first term ended. ‘Iran was broke under Donald Trump,’ the 45th president said in the lone presidential debate this fall. In addition, a drone strike eliminated Iranian terror chief Qassem Soleimani in January 2020.

Now it is time for Trump to bring back his policy of maximum pressure, which shook the regime to its core. And Trump should add a second pillar to his strategy: maximum support for the Iranian people, who still thirst for freedom.

As president, Biden has squandered the leverage he inherited from Trump. Biden eased up on sanctions, hoping to persuade Tehran to curb its nuclear program. Instead, the regime pocketed tens of billions of dollars from loosened restrictions on its oil exports and raced toward a nuclear weapons capability. Today, Iran possesses enough enriched uranium to produce material for up to 15 nuclear weapons within five months.

Tehran also continued to fund, train, and equip terrorist organizations across the Middle East, including Hamas, Hezbollah, and Yemen’s Houthis. On October 7 last year, Iran celebrated the massacre that its support made possible.

During Trump’s first term, his administration took nearly two years to settle on a consistent Iran policy and impose tough sanctions. This meant if Khamenei could endure just two years of maximum pressure, Americans might turn Trump out of office. The gamble paid off.

This time around, Trump should ensure that Tehran has to endure four full years of unstinting pressure. The regime is wealthier thanks to Biden – its petroleum exports tripled after Trump left office, generating $144 billion of sales from 2021 through 2023. But Tehran is reeling from the hammer blows Israel has delivered to the regime and its proxies since the October 7 slaughter. Twice, Iran has attempted to strike Israel with barrages of missiles, rockets, and drones, all to little effect. Yet when Israel hit back on October 25, it demonstrated that Iran’s supposedly robust air defenses were nearly worthless.

If the Israelis could operate with impunity in Iranian skies, the U.S. Air Force and Navy would face even less resistance. If Trump clearly and consistently says the United States will employ every means at its disposal to prevent Iran from building a nuclear weapon, the threat of force will be credible. Khamenei will know that if he sprints for the bomb, it may spell the end of his regime. Biden claimed he would never let Iran get a nuclear weapon, but the threat was hollow.

Trump’s sanctions framework from his first term mostly remains in place; his administration only needs to enforce it and strengthen it further. This should include the reintroduction of secondary sanctions against nations that illegally purchase Iranian oil, targeting their banks, shipping companies, and other intermediaries involved.

Trump should also push to ‘snap back’ United Nations sanctions on Iran, restoring international prohibitions against its military, missile, and nuclear programs. A key priority should be enlisting France, Germany, and the United Kingdom to renew these sanctions before the snap back option expires in October 2025.

To support the Iranian people, Trump should consider leveraging Elon Musk’s Starlink technology to provide internet access in Iran. This would help Iranians to communicate, bypass regime censorship, and organize. Washington could also establish a support fund for the opposition, akin to the one it established for Poland’s Solidarity Movement in the 1980s. Even without American support, waves of mass protest have spread across Iran multiple times since 2017, but the regime prevailed by gunning down peaceful demonstrators.

Khamenei may seek to defuse the pressure he faces by allowing his government to restart nuclear negotiations. In Europe and the United States, President Masoud Pezeshkian, enjoys an unearned reputation as a moderate despite his complete loyalty to Khamenei. Wanting to believe Tehran was serious about resolving its differences at the negotiation, Biden fell for a similar ruse.

Trump must refuse to negotiate unless Tehran is prepared to stop enriching uranium, dismantle its military nuclear program, and end all support for terrorism. Iran would also have to guarantee complete access for the International Atomic Energy Agency to monitor the deal’s implementation — deficient inspections were one of the fatal flaws of Barack Obama’s 2015 nuclear deal.

Trump now has an opportunity to help the Iranian people end the Islamic Republic and curb the regime’s nuclear ambitions. Aiding in the liberation of Iran and deterring its nuclear development could cement Trump’s legacy as a pivotal figure in achieving peace and stability in the Middle East—an accomplishment worthy of a Nobel Peace Prize.

Andrea Stricker is deputy director of the Nonproliferation and Biodefense Program and a research fellow at FDD, a nonpartisan research institute focusing on national security and foreign policy.

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